How’s it going everybody? I haven’t written in my blog for a long time. The reason is because I’ve been travelling (from time to time) and trading most of the time. I actually have a trip next month heading to Iceland and I plan to go to Ireland the month after so its been quite an exciting time. Bitcoin as of writing this is currently at $82,800 and I know what you’re thinking? Did I make it?

As of writing this, my portfolio is up +581.25% YTD. My portfolio right now is mostly stables and I’ve been day trading almost every asset you can think of. Right now, we are near the end of the cycle where I need to derisk positions and rotate capital around. My attention is with the legacy markets and quite frankly, they’ve been slowing down Bitcoin’s cycle. We have the S&P 500 currently dumping nearly -10% and we are on the brink of a possible recession. What my thought process right now is to watch the bond market. There is a lot of refinancing that needs to be done and what Trump wants is to lower interest rates so the US doesn’t incur too much of a drop. However, what’s happening is Powell doesn’t want to lower interest rate just yet because the labour market and the US is quite strong. So we’re in a battle between who moves first – will the stock market crash first or will Jerome Powell pivot to save the stock market? At the same time a tariff war is happening between USA, Canada, Mexico, and possibly Europe (soon). If you check the data, some of these tariffs are justified as the trade deals have really been in favor for some of the other countries. While others, aren’t. These tariffs are only used so that US can retain business within it’s country. Similar to the tariff war with USA-and-China, you can see what has happened between 2018-2019. After some back and forth, both economies eventually declined. By 2019, you can see that deals were made and markets rebounded quite well but the tariff war wasn’t officially finished. So there’s a lot of things to keep up with and monitor in this type of environment and a lot of the people that I talk to are in the same position. It’s a matter of saving a lot of your stablecoins/cash, and either playing level-by-level due to the uncertainty in this market.

I’m in a fortunate position in my life where I don’t need to work as much and all I really have to do is to simply move capital around. Is it easy? I honestly wish I can tell you it is. But what people don’t see behind the scenes is the amount of losses I had to endure to achieve this portfolio return, the strict solitude I had to endure, the sleepless nights I experienced, and the amount of time I had to invest in this. All people really see is the end result in this game, and everything we do is data-driven with multiple datapoints from almost every angle. This isn’t analzying a company. It’s analyzing a maturing asset that has yet to fully reach its full potential in the world. No one in the world understands how good of an asset this is and it really is a shame. There are others out there that outperform way better than me and I hope to meet them one day and reach their level. I love the process of investing and trading. I wouldn’t trade it for the world. There’s a certain number I want to hit this year and I truly believe with this type of macro environment that’s been set up, I will be able to achieve it. The stage is set for one big finale and hopefully I’ll be able to time everything correctly.

_{Disclaimer: If you’re reading this, none of this post is financial and investment advice. It’s purely for entertainment purposes. You should do you own research as investing and trading is highly risky}. _{I do use other data points to support my thesis. The ones shown are basic charts anyone can access and is only an overview of Bitcoin and the entire space.}